Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr Warns U.S. Banks of Growing Risks from Deregulation
Barr, who served as the Fed’s vice‑chair for supervision from 2022 until early 2025, pointed out that the sector’s exposure to nonbank lenders—private equity, private credit funds, and hedge funds—reached more than $2.6 trillion last year. He argued that banks and these nonbank institutions are "closely entwined and interdependent," and that stress in the nonbank space could trigger asset fire‑sales that would spill over into bank portfolios.
The governor said that the regulatory reforms underway represent "the most significant deregulation of the banking system since the Global Financial Crisis." He noted that many proposals aim to lower capital requirements and relax supervisory tests—moves he has consistently opposed as a board member. According to Barr, the reforms favor the expansion of new business models at the expense of safety and soundness.
Barr stressed that banks need robust capital and liquidity buffers to absorb shocks from the nonbank sector. He warned that the short‑term economic boost from lighter regulation—he described it as a "sugar high"—is likely to be outweighed by a higher probability of a costly crisis in the future, citing the Great Depression and the 2008 financial crisis as examples of the long‑term costs of weakened regulation.
The governor’s speech comes amid a broader deregulatory push by Washington regulators. Reuters reported on June 4 that the nation’s top bank regulators plan to present their agenda to Congress, arguing that trimming rules will spur economic activity. Barr’s comments suggest that the same policy direction could increase systemic risk.
Barr also highlighted the potential for second‑round effects. He explained that if a highly connected nonbank institution were to fire‑sell assets, the resulting price pressure could affect banks that hold similar assets or that have significant exposure to the same borrowers.
The governor’s warnings are consistent with his voting record. Since joining the Board of Governors, Barr has voted against most of the regulatory changes that have been enacted in the past year. He said that his duty is to continue speaking out about the risks, even as the policy agenda moves in the opposite direction.
The speech was delivered at a time when the U.S. economy is described as a "risk‑on" environment, with a booming stock market, robust bank profits, and a prevailing deregulatory mindset. Barr cautioned that the combination of these factors could set the stage for another downturn.
While Barr acknowledged that deregulation can provide short‑term economic benefits, he emphasized that the costs—both in terms of potential financial instability and lost productivity—could outweigh those benefits.
The Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors, which includes Barr, continues to oversee the nation’s banking system. The governor’s remarks add a stark warning to the ongoing debate about the balance between innovation and financial stability.
As the regulatory agenda moves forward, the financial community and lawmakers will need to weigh the potential benefits of deregulation against the risks highlighted by Barr. The outcome of this debate will shape the resilience of the U.S. banking system in the years ahead.